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Predictability


Jean Valjean

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:kaukau: So often I see good stories ripped apart because they were predictable. The judgment is passed underneath the narrow assumption that predictability is inherently bad and that unpredictable stories are always desirable. Following this logic, films such as Titanic and The Lion King would be the scourges of cinema, forgotten and hated by all but the most simple-minded viewers. The Velveteen Rabbit would be nothing special to anyone. The only truly good films would be Clue and The Sting, the only good books by Agatha Christie, famous for their giant surprises.

 

It can be good for a film to be unpredictable, but unless they're set up like The Sting they shouldn't necessarily all aim to take audiences by complete surprise. Not all films are meant to flow like that, and if it's not befitting of the tale the storyteller shouldn't try to turn it into something it's not. Sometimes you can see where a story is going, but that's okay. What matters is that the story is enjoyable or meaningful, and that it delivers the desired experience intended by the storyteller. If every story was a complex web up plot twists, every story would be the same.

 

So when people decry a book or movie for being predictable with not enough surprises, I'm given the impression that they are narrow-minded and think too highly of themselves. Sometimes people have to take stories for what they are and adapt their mindset be able to take more out of it.

 

In my review for Brave, described it as a story that couldn't just be told, but had to be experienced. Sometimes that's what a good story is all about. There are elements of familiarity kept in with the experience so that surprises don't distract from the overall narrative. Story isn't just plot, but also characters and settings, themes and music, and a storyteller might choose to emphasize one of these assets over the others. That could include plot, and a regular twist might add to the sense of wonder, but if that's all someone can see then there's an entire world he or she is missing out on.

 

Merida

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:kaukau: See, there's a good point. I could see a lot of things coming, because if you've seen enough horror films you know what to expect, but the atmosphere made up for it all by being so atmospheric. I loved how mysterious it felt, and even though I saw many things coming I still can't answer all the film's elusive questions.

 

Prometheus was one of the films that I had to defend recently against the scorching criticisms of an emotional viewer. He accused the ending as being "predictable", which is was, but perhaps that wasn't relevant. What I stop to ask is...Was it cool? To me, it was. It was what I wanted to see, so I think the film delivered.

 

Merida

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That seemed to be the major (sometimes only) complaint anyone had about Brave, and it didn't stop me from enjoying the film.

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Well said. While subverting expectations can be a valid way to craft a story, there's something to be said for archetypes, in all their forms.

 

I also felt a lot of the criticism of Avatar (the movie, not the television series) fell into the trap of decrying predictability. Yes, it was essentially Dances with Wolves in space. But what's wrong with that? It's telling a timeless story in a way it's never been told before! Especially in film, the execution of a concept is just as important as the raw concept itself.

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Personally, I think Agatha Christie's works are tremendously predictable in that they rely on the same pattern of piecing together minute details that most readers would reasonably dismiss as inconsequential, as well as deliberately making it appear that someone is an obvious distraction for the suspect, before having the whole entended reveal bit, after attempting to foster the idea of unpredictability. I got tired of this after ten or so of her books, and haven't really read more. They seem to be all the same after a while. But, I guess when you write 100 or so mystery novels, they all tend to converge, as all of the few unpredictable plots are exhausted.

 

~B~

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